October 3, 2016 | No Comments
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania but trails in Ohio, according to a batch of Quinnipiac University polls released Monday.
Clinton tops Trump by 5 percentage points in Florida (46 percent to 41 percent), 3 points in North Carolina (46 percent to 43 percent) and 4 points in Pennsylvania (45 percent to 41 percent). Trump, however, prevails by a 5 percent margin in Ohio (47 percent to 42 percent).
Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson polled in the single digits in each state, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein had no more than 2 percent support in the three states she was polled in (Stein is not on the ballot in North Carolina).
A Bloomberg Politics poll also released Monday indicates a tighter race in North Carolina, with Clinton holding a 46 percent-45 percent advantage in a head-to-head and a 44-43 advantage with third-party candidates included.
The series of Quinnipiac battleground state surveys show Clinton beginning to pull away in Florida as Trump does the same in Ohio.
During Quinnipiac’s Sept. 8 polls, Clinton and Trump were tied at 47 percent in Florida, and Clinton led in North Carolina (47 percent to 43 percent) and Pennsylvania (48 percent to Trump 43 percent) while Trump held a narrow edge in Ohio (46 percent to 45 percent) in a head-to-head matchup.
“The good news for Secretary Clinton is that she has opened a five-point lead in Florida, in what had been a dead heat in Quinnipiac University’s September 8 poll,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll. “But Donald Trump holds his lead in Ohio and stays close in North Carolina while she retains her small margin in Pennsylvania.”
The Quinnipiac University surveys of 545; 507; 497; and 535 likely voters in Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania, respectively, were conducted Sept. 27–Oct. 2 via landlines and cellphones. Polls in Florida and Pennsylvania have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, while the North Carolina and Ohio polls have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
The Bloomberg survey of 805 likely voters in North Carolina has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. It was conducted Sept. 29–Oct. 2 via landlines and cellphones.