Eliyohu Mintz

My Thoughts on Education

The race for the White House is essentially tied heading into tonight’s presidential debate, yet another national poll released on Monday shows.

According to the latest Quinnipiac national poll, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 44 percent to 43 percent among likely voters in a four-way race, with 8 percent supporting Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and 1 percent backing the Green Party candidate, Jill Stein.

In a two-way race, Clinton leads Trump by a similar margin, 47 percent to 46 percent.

The poll shows little change since Quinnipiac’s September survey, when Clinton led Trump 41-39 percent in a four-way race.

Polling averages still show a slight Clinton lead: RealClearPolitics has her 2.3 points ahead, while HuffPollster has her leading Trump by 4 points. FiveThirtyEight has Clinton up by 1.9 points. But those averages have not yet ingested the latest batch of polls.

According to POLITICO’s average of battleground state polls, Clinton’s lead is 2.9 points in the 11 states most likely to decide the Electoral College vote.

For Monday’s poll, Quinnipiac surveyed 1,115 likely voters by landline and telephone from Sept. 22-25, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.


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